Author's Note:
The origins of this paper date back to the early 1990s. Koen and
I independently worked on the dynamics of design variation and standardization
as young doctoral students on different sides of the Atlantic. At
Columbia University, Michael Tushman invited me to join him in sorting
out a few remaining issues in the theory of dominant designs. This
proved quite a daunting task. We took a step towards solving some
of the puzzles in a joint paper published a few years later (Tushman
& Murmann, 1998).
The present paper takes another big step in this direction and
should make it easier to collect sophisticated data on the connection
between technological and industrial change. Koen and I wanted to
write a paper that is useful both to the person who is just beginning
to study the relationship between technological and industrial change
and to the expert who is very familiar with the literature. For
this reason we have pulled together what we regard to be the essential
analytical tools and worked diligently to articulate a model of
dominant designs that agrees with the empirical facts as we know
them today. Mathematicians all seem to do their most important work
before they reach thirty. Perhaps this paper can prove that this
is not true for social scientists.
Please post questions and comments on my
discussion forum.
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